
Courtyard Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) Odds
PokémonAverage return89.8%$89.77 back per $100 spent
Typical pull78%of the $249 price
Pack price$249one graded card
Pulls counted271measured live
Average return95.0%$95.03 back per $100 spent
Typical pull79%of the $249 price
Pack price$249one graded card
Pulls counted505measured live
Average return95.3%$95.28 back per $100 spent
Typical pull80%of the $249 price
Pack price$249one graded card
Pulls counted482measured live
The last 10 rips from this pack
Faded cards were worth less than the $249 you paid.










These 10 packs cost $2,490 and returned $2,653 in cards, but 7 of the 10 were worth less than $249.
From best pull to most common

Best pull today
$881

Half are worth less than
$198

Most common
$125–187
Promised odds vs real odds
Courtyard's published oddsWhat pulls showed
Base $125–18546.3%43.8%
Common $185–24926.0%30.3%
Uncommon $249–49822.0%21.0%
Rare $498–9965.0%4.4%
Chase $996–7,9680.70%0.41%
Chase cards land about 41% less often than promised. Based on 482 pulls. measured live
Where pulls land
Share of pulls, by card value as a multiple of the $249 price
45%29%15%6%5%0.2%
0.5–0.75×0.75–1×1–1.5×1.5–2×2–5×5×+
482 pulls measured live
How much does Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) pay back?
Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) on Courtyard ($249) returned 95.3% of spend as card value across 482 pulls (gross; measured by PackRips from live feeds, as of Oct 16, 2026). Half of pulls came back at or below 80% of the pack price. Fewer than 500 pulls: provisional.
Average return by day
Prices and odds change, so check Courtyard's own pack page before you buy. The link carries no referral code.
Go to Courtyard(opens in a new tab, no referral code)