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Courtyard Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) Odds

Pokémon
Showing
Average return95.3%$95.28 back per $100 spent
Typical pull80%of the $249 price
Pack price$249one graded card
Pulls counted482measured live

The last 10 rips from this pack

Faded cards were worth less than the $249 you paid.

Leafeon Vmax, PSA 9 MINT
$345
M Gengar EX, PSA 8 NM-MT
$537
Mewtwo Vstar, PSA 10 GEM MINT
$165
Lugia V, PSA 10 GEM MINT
$217
Mimikyu, PSA 9 MINT
$148
Pikachu V, PSA 10 GEM MINT
$192
Glaceon Vmax, PSA 10 GEM MINT
$499
Pikachu, PSA 10 GEM MINT
$210
Scoop Up, PSA 9 MINT
$167
Charizard Vmax, PSA 10 GEM MINT
$175

These 10 packs cost $2,490 and returned $2,653 in cards, but 7 of the 10 were worth less than $249.

From best pull to most common

Hitmonlee, CGC 10 GEM MINT
Best pull today
$881
Beedrill, PSA 10 GEM MINT
Half are worth less than
$198
Venomoth GX, PSA 10 GEM MINT
Most common
$125–187

Promised odds vs real odds

Courtyard's published oddsWhat pulls showed

Base $125–18546.3%43.8%
Common $185–24926.0%30.3%
Uncommon $249–49822.0%21.0%
Rare $498–9965.0%4.4%
Chase $996–7,9680.70%0.41%

Chase cards land about 41% less often than promised. Based on 482 pulls. measured live

Where pulls land

Share of pulls, by card value as a multiple of the $249 price

45%29%15%6%5%0.2%
0.5–0.75×0.75–1×1–1.5×1.5–2×2–5×5×+

482 pulls measured live

How much does Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) pay back?

Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) on Courtyard ($249) returned 95.3% of spend as card value across 482 pulls (gross; measured by PackRips from live feeds, as of Oct 16, 2026). Half of pulls came back at or below 80% of the pack price. Fewer than 500 pulls: provisional.

Average return by day

100%2026-10-13: 114.7% over 76 pulls2026-10-14: 104.6% over 68 pulls2026-10-15: 88.3% over 301 pulls2026-10-16: 94.9% over 37 pulls2026-10-132026-10-16
Latest day: 94.9% over 37 pulls

Prices and odds change, so check Courtyard's own pack page before you buy. The link carries no referral code.

Go to Courtyard(opens in a new tab, no referral code)